Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 48.802529 54.859726 61.170609 68.219137 75.854189 83.857548 92.863727
2024-10-27 37.339530 45.850870 55.282862 66.432460 79.172728 93.198184 109.725346
2024-11-03 33.173317 43.220583 54.815586 69.026021 85.807821 104.833099 127.863551
2024-11-10 29.500416 40.524120 53.708586 70.376191 90.612591 114.116263 143.194903
2024-11-17 25.968597 37.504804 51.770136 70.322628 93.413545 120.810563 155.353627
2024-11-24 24.223738 36.501025 52.112377 72.893352 99.281380 131.126158 171.878936
2024-12-01 21.672819 34.155731 50.498372 72.778916 101.650476 137.087873 183.109838
2024-12-08 19.177865 31.629140 48.413338 71.839896 102.798385 141.418291 192.276057
2024-12-15 17.342941 29.843884 47.155629 71.839544 105.038081 147.050711 203.055078
2024-12-22 15.730689 28.223651 45.983815 71.829239 107.171670 152.500774 213.612432
2024-12-29 15.126126 28.049057 46.800978 74.522620 112.913594 162.653916 230.283337
2025-01-05 14.068197 27.075820 46.387815 75.437352 116.227007 169.657831 242.970213
2025-01-12 12.960748 25.959960 45.734457 76.025379 119.171246 176.328575 255.486558
2025-01-19 11.326725 23.833600 43.432232 74.116770 118.572207 178.249371 261.798567
2025-01-26 10.975471 23.830189 44.353530 76.924279 124.607110 189.134752 280.069323
2025-02-02 10.349961 23.290233 44.390670 78.388164 128.737943 197.481627 295.055757
2025-02-09 9.458934 22.190554 43.461770 78.330004 130.645857 202.785935 306.001918
2025-02-16 9.209429 22.242415 44.386123 81.114264 136.708571 213.882752 324.893274
2025-02-23 8.427512 21.216829 43.469278 80.990362 138.483568 219.031309 335.747322
2025-03-02 7.559761 19.933879 42.035096 79.973553 138.875641 222.211399 343.910724
2025-03-09 6.939057 19.078097 41.271789 79.973171 140.752022 227.476414 354.974975
2025-03-16 6.369410 18.266568 40.530899 79.962011 142.583298 232.675538 365.983674
2025-03-23 6.271862 18.451534 41.564948 82.877822 148.920953 244.395509 386.201094